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Tramadol Cheap Ken,Thanks for the note. I agree that having peploe surf through the photos as they choose wouldn’t be very productive. When you’re talking about a visual search, the MTurk method makes sense to me, and the fact that it hasn’t born fruit, yet, doesn’t invalidate the approach.Regarding the question of how many times you need to cover a given search area, there are ways of estimating the effectiveness of a search, and CAP uses them. The surprising thing to me about those estimates is how low the probability of detection is after one, or even a few, passes. That’s one reason why the MTurk search is so valuable; you get lots of eyes on the same area. And, from what I can tell, you’re right that the MTurk folks know what they’re doing.What I’m suggesting is a complementary method of trying to locate good places to search. You ask peploe to set aside the photos and have each give his or her single best guess as to where the plane is based on the known information, i.e., the aircraft, the pilot, the terrain, the weather, etc. You then aggregate those guesses into a single combined guess.Surowiecki’s idea in The Wisdom of Crowds is that this combined guess will be as good, or better, than any individual guess.You would, of course, follow up by examining the photos at the aggregate location and if promising sending a search crew.Having spent time looking for folks in uncomfortable weather, bouncing around in a small plane, the idea of searching in your PJs with a cool drink at hand is attractive. But, there is nothing like being there to convey the sheer size of the search; it makes you really appreciate how hard the search is.
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